Expected Value & RTP Calculator
Calculate mathematical edge, probability of bust, and statistical variance across custom cashout multipliers.
# Expected Value & RTP Calculator
Calculate exact geometric probability distributions, expected value, and bankroll ruin risk.
Because Expected Value is strictly negative (-3.0%), the Kelly Criterion proves no progressive staking system (Martingale, Fibonacci) can overcome the house advantage.
TEST NEGATIVE EV IN A LICENSED ENVIRONMENT
Open registration and review the selected game, available cashout controls and cashier terms. This calculation does not certify the platform or guarantee a demo.
Expected value describes the average under the chosen model. A single session can end differently. Check the game rules and spending limits before playing.
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Understanding the Probability Formula
The probability of a continuous multiplier X reaching a cashout threshold k with a configured house edge E is expressed as P(X ≥ k) = (1 - E) / k. Because expected return scales proportionally to k - 1, the mathematical house edge remains strictly locked at -E across every multiplier threshold.
crashmath-labs/monte-carlo-sim
Python simulation engine modeling 1,000,000 rounds by CrashMath Quant Research Group. Mathematical proof of Gambler's Ruin under negative expectation E[X] = -e.